Senate debates

Wednesday, 8 November 2006

Questions without Notice: Take Note of Answers

Inflation; Interest Rates

3:16 pm

Photo of Judith AdamsJudith Adams (WA, Liberal Party) Share this | Hansard source

I rise to take note of the answers given by Senator Minchin. I think that it is very important, having listened to what has come from the other side today, that we go through what the coalition has done and what Labor has done. With the interest rate rise today, it is now 8.05 per cent. The mortgage rate, as we have been told, was never as low under Labor. Never in the course of 13 years did Labor get the mortgage rate below 8.05 per cent.

By contrast, in 1996, when the Labor Party left office, interest rates were 10.5 per cent. In the course of Labor’s 13 years in office, home loan interest rates averaged 12.75 per cent. Mortgage interest rates peaked at 17 per cent in 1989 and 1990—and I can certainly relate to that, as we were buying more property. In the last 10 years, interest rates have averaged 7.17 per cent. The reduction in mortgage interest rates since 1996, even after today’s increase, would still save a typical family $449 per month in interest payments on an average $220,000 home loan.

Having heard Senator Evans mention the press release that is going around about what his leader, Mr Beazley, said, it is important that I read this out, because people may not be aware of what he said. In September 1994, when Mr Beazley was finance minister, home loan mortgage rates were 9.5 per cent, and this is what he said:

... I point out that this is still a very low interest rate regime in Australian historical standards. It is a regime that is capable of being held at that level largely because the fundamentals of the economy in this country are very good indeed.

That is what Mr Beazley said in 1994, in case those opposite are wondering what he said. So, in 1994, a 9.5 per cent interest rate was considered low and keeping interest rates at that level was regarded as an achievement and a testament to the economic management of the Labor Party.

Throughout the last 10 years, and particularly in the 2004 election campaign, we made the point that interest rates have been lower under the coalition than they were under Labor. That is an indisputable historical fact. Why would interest rates be higher under Labor? In 2004 we made two points about interest rates under the Labor Party. Firstly, a Labor government would create a risk of higher inflation because they would return us to a centralised, union dominated system of industrial relations which would remove the link between pay rises and productivity. That issue is even more important in 2006 because, with the commodity boom affecting wage outcomes in the resources sector, Labor’s centralised industrial relations system would create the risk of a wages outbreak and higher inflation, just like we saw during previous booms—for example, in the early 1970s.

Secondly, we made the point that Labor had a big spending program. In the 2004 campaign, Labor promised some $40 billion in new spending over four years to be funded by some vague and rubbery savings. In 2006 the Labor Party had already outlined a substantial spending agenda. Labor’s promise to spend the annual earnings of the Future Fund represents a fiscal loosening of over $2 billion a year. Labor’s promise to raid the Communications Fund and spend it on present-day projects represents a further one-off $2 billion fiscal loosening. Labor has committed to a long list of vague and unfunded promises. Australian families do not trust Labor to keep interest rates low, because after 10 years Mr Beazley and the Labor Party have not done the work to articulate a clear alternative economic plan.

As far as affordability goes, Australia has a very high level of home ownership. Home ownership in Australia is 70 per cent. In the G7, only Italy has a higher rate. The most important ways to improve housing affordability are to keep unemployment low, keep real wages rising, keep interest rates low, maintain a competitive and efficient housing construction sector, ensure adequate land release and minimise taxes on land transfer.

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